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Why Stock Market Gains Are Powering Confidence—And What It Means for You
The confidence gap between stockholders and everyone else If you’ve noticed that some people sound much more upbeat about the economy than others, there’s a reason. Recent reporting from The Wall Street Journal  suggests that most of the optimism comes from households that own stocks . Market gains—especially from technology and AI companies—have lifted portfolio values and, with them, confidence. Households without meaningful stock exposure are seeing a different picture. R
1 day ago2 min read


What the Atlanta Fed’s 4% GDPNow Estimate Tells Us About the U.S. Economy
A Surprising Signal from the Atlanta Fed The Atlanta Federal Reserve's GDPNow model , a real-time tracker of U.S. economic growth that gets updated automatically, has just given its U.S. economic growth outlook a big bump. The model's Q3 2025 estimate has jumped to 4.0%  — that’s an annualized number — up from 3.9% just a week ago and a full percentage point above the Blue Chip consensus forecast of around 2.5%  [1]. This wasn’t a one-off either. It’s largely because of stron
Nov 43 min read


Falling Interest Rates 2025: What Borrowers & Investors Should Know
Here at Halter Ferguson Financial, when rates start to drop, we pay attention—because your financial plan should too. Recently, key policy rates have begun to move downward, and that shift affects both borrowers and  savers (yes, even the ones who want to earn interest). Below, we walk through why rates are dropping , what it means for you , and what to review with your advisor . What’s Happening With Interest Rates In short: the Fed has begun cutting its benchmark policy rat
Oct 313 min read


Should You Refinance Now Before Rates Fall Further? A Mortgage Refinance Plan for 2025 & 2026
What's Behind The Change in Rates, & Why Bother Refinancing Now? Rates are slowly dropping off those recent highs, but volatility still rules the day. If you bought or refinanced during the late peak-rate window, you've got a tough call ahead: take advantage of today's lower rates or wait for possibly even better deals. What you do depends on some basic math, how long you expect to stay in the house, the cost of closing, and your overall financial plan (budget, retirement sav
Oct 214 min read


Fed Minutes Split on Rate Cuts—And a Shutdown Isn’t Helping
What did the latest Fed minutes actually say? The Sept. 16–17 FOMC minutes show a real divide. Most participants supported September’s...
Oct 163 min read
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